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HomeMy WebLinkAboutliving wage ordinanceApr-28-05 11:08am From- T-116 P.01 F-058 THE IMPACT OF A LIVING WAGE ORDINANCE ON THE CITY OF MIAMI by Bruce Nissen and Theodore Carmen Florida International University 1 Apr-20-08 11:08am From- T-110 P.02 F-088 Acknowledgements: We would like to acknowledge the financial assistance of the Dade Foundation atnd the Community Coalition for a Living Wage, which made this research possible. We stress, however, that neither of these institutions bears any responsibility for the analysis or conclusions contained herein, and neither has influenced its contents or methodology. • Contact Information t $ruse Nissen, Director of Research Caner for Labor Research and Studies Florida International University University Park Miami, FL 33199 Iliffenti@Au.edu 305-348-2616 Theodore Ca'rrasao Florida International University University Park Miiami, FL 33199 ppp78@msn.com 305-609.3391 2 Apr-26-06 11:08am From- T-116 P 03 F-066 THE IMPACT OF A LIVING WAGE ORDINANCE ON THE CITY OF MIAMI by Bruce Nissen and Theodore Carrasco Florida International University EXECUTIVE SUMMARY I. Proposed Living Wage Ordinance for the City of Miami A coalition of local organizations and individuals has urged the city of Miami to pass a living wage ordinance to reuse the wages of the lowest paid workers on the city's payroll and on the payrolls of the city's contractors. Miami Dade County, Miami Beach, froward County, and others have passed such ordinances. A living wage ordinance ordinarily requires that wages be paid at or above the poverty lime far a family of four, and that health care coverage (or its equivalent in monetary payment) be provided, This study assumes that a city ordinance would closely parallel the Miami -Dade County ordinance. The proposed ordinance would cover (1) all employees of the city, and (2) employees of locally based service contractors conducting city business through a contract with the city. The required pay levels would be $9.44 per hour if health care coverage is provided, and $10.81 per hour if it is not. This amount would be adjusted yearly for inflation. We use these pay levels as "baseline" hourly wage figures, and calculate costs for a few intermediate levels of $9,25, $9.50, $10.00, $10.50 and $10.59 perhour, II. Previous Research on Living Wage Ordinances Research on what has occurred elsewhere after implementation of living wage ordinances is briefly reviewed. Two studies of Baltimore, one of the cities of Boston, New Haven, and Hartford, and care of a number of California entice are reviewed. All deliver positive assessments: costs to the city rise very little or sometimes even decline, poverty is reduced, "disemployment" (increased unemployment) impacts are insignificant, etc. No major negative impacts have been found (es opposed to predicted), to the best knowledge of the authors. 1II. Likely Costa to the City of Miami of a Living Wage Ordinance Analysis reveals that 43 city contracts, costing a littfle over $6 million, would be covered by the proposed ordinance, Using a methodology relying on government statistics far Miaaai. we estimate the number, types, and pay levels of city contractor employees who would win wage increases under a living wage ordinance. We find that nearly 58 rrEs of city contractors would win wage ems. depending on the pay level chosen. These workers are in a wide variety of industries. Depending on the pay level chosen, final increased payroll costs to these contractors range from $3881632.64 (at $9.44/hr.) to $473,778.89 (at $10,81/hr.) per year. The following table gives details: 3 Apr-2 -06 11:06am From- T-116 P.04 F-066 Total ear$t% to contractors at various living wage amounts Liv W e W Increcse PIA Increase Total $9.25/br. $344,932.56 $26,387.34 _ $371,319.90 , $9,4allar. T $361,014.99 - S27,617.65 S3 632.64 $9.50/hr. $365,022.94 S27,924.26 $392,947.20 . $10.00/ r. $3867485.88 $29,566.17 $416,052.05 $10.5011r. $414,106.47 $31,679.15 $445,7E15.62 $10.59/br. ,_ $418 304.02 $31,86/.06 $450,171.08 $10.81/1r. $440410.44 $33,668.45 $473,778.89 Analysis of city payrolls reveals that between 458 city employees (265 port -time and 193 - time) and 524 (286 part-time and 238 full-time) would receive pay increaaes,,,depending on the pay level chosen. Additional payroll costs to 'the city range from $1.91 million to $3.26 million, depending on the pay level chosen. The following table gives details. Total city emplo ee pay income costs Living Wage ' Part-time Full-time $584;701.41 Total $1,742,11.1.49 $9.25lhr. $1,157,410.08 $9.44/hr. $1,249,994.90 $664,703.15 - _ . $69Qr744.12--. $912,883.39 $1,914,698.05 $1969,976.33 $25,757.84 $9,50/hr. $1,279,232.21. $1,522,876.45 $10.00/hr. $10.50/1 . $1,780,015.59 $1,155,448.16 $2,935,463.75 $10.59/hr. $1,827,158.87 $1,201,193.38 $3,023,352.25 $10.81/11r. $1,942,770.2.3 $1,313,545.94 $3,256,316.17 Combining the last two tables, we arrive at total additional payroll costs to all employers, should a living wage ordinance be passed and implemented. Total additional ►roll costs at differing living wage rates Living Wage Contracts Employees Total _ $9.25/hr. S371,315.89 $1,742,11149 _ S2,113t427.38 $9,44/lu. $388,632.64 $1,914,698.05 $213033330 69 $9.50/hr. $392,190.73 51,969,.976.33 $2,362,167.06 ' $10.00/hr. $423,098.07 $2,435,757.84 $25$,85' 5.91 $10.50/ltr. S444,597.50 S2,935,463.75 $3,380,061.25 $10.39/hr. $448,429.82 53,028,352.25 $3,476t782.07 $10.81/hr. . $473,778.89 _, , S3.256,316.17 83,7304195.06 W. Analysis and Conclusions There are two likely sources of coat reductions from the above figures as well as two likely sources of cost increases. The potential cost reductions come from (1) an "efficiency wage" effect, whereby efficiency will increase at the high wage through reductions in employee turnover, absenteeism, tardiness, and the like; and (2) contractors not passing through to the 4 Apr-20-05 11:O0am From- T-116 P.05 F-066 county the entire additional labor costs. Both of these will likely reduce the final cost, but we do not pit a magnitude on these factors in this study. The potential increased costs come from (l) monitoring costs for the city, which will use city personnel to implement and monitor the ordinance. and (2) "ripple effect" costs, to the extent that employers grant wage increases beyond those required by the ordinance itself. Again, we do not attempt to quantify these additional costs in this study, but we emphasize that both of these actors we wag the eity's control and aze not mandatory under an ordinance. If the city chooses to handle both issues wisely, additional costs can be greatly minimized. In the estimation of the authors, the additional potential savings and the additional potential costs will largely cancel each other out, so we stick by the figures in the final table above es the most likely costs of a living wage ordinance. These costs range from a little under 7/10 of one percent (tithe eity's personnel budget to slightly over 1.1% of that budget. When the final cost would fall depends on how many of the employees winning pay increases already have health insurance coverage — the more that do, the lower the cost and the less that do, the higher the cost. Our own eadumate Is that the final cost will be approiimaielp 33 mill on per year, a little under 1% of the eity's present personnel budget. Whether the bits of a living wage ordinance justify this small cost is a political decision for the Miami sty Commissioners to make. In our won, the well known anti poverty benefits and the small cost make adoption of a living wage ordinance a very attractive option. Apr-20-06 11:10am From- T-110 P.06 F-060 IMPACT OF A LSO WAGE ORDINANCE ON THE CITY OF MIAMI by Bruce Nissen and Theodore Corrascv Florida da International university INTWDLICTION A coalition of local organizations and individuals has urged the city of Miami to pass a living wage ordinance to raise the wages of the lowest paid workers on the payroll of the city and its contractors. Miami -Dade County, the city of Wand Beach, Broward County, and several other municipalities across the state of Florida have already passed such ordinances. A living wage ordinance ordinarily requires that wages be paid at or above the poverty line for a fhrnily of tour, and that health care coverage (or its equivalent in monetary payment) be provided. To date, despite expressed interest from the city's mayor and several city commissioners, no action. has been taken on this request. One important piece of information that public officials have asked for is what the likely cost of such an ordinance would be. One of the authors of this report was approached with a request to undertake a study of the costs and benefits of passage of such an ordinance. Thenks to a generous grant from the Dade Foundation (administering a local grant program for the Knight Foundation) and a supplemental grant from the Community Coalition for a, Living Wage (CCLW), we were able to undertake such a study,; The following is a brief study of the likely impact of* 1i irtg wage ordinance on the city of Miami. Emphasis has been given to the costs involved, although city officials should bear in mind the benefits such an ordinance is also likely to bring the city and its inhabitants. ' We dank the Dade Foundation and the CAL W far their financial support However, neither hears any resperusibiiity for the analysts or the results contained In this report. Likewbe, heather was given atty lahwelDe over, or lolOwledge of the methodology employed in the report or in the conclusions reed.. 1 Apr-26-05 11:11am From- T-116 11.0T F-0159 The study is based on the assumption that a city ordinance would closely parallel the ordinance already in place since 1999 for Miami -Dade County. Thus, we memo that the ordinance would cover (1) all employees of the city, and (2) employees of locally based service contractors conducting city business through a contract with the city. We assume that required hourly pay levels will be comparable to those of the county's ordinance, which are adjusted yearly to keep up with increases in the coat of living. Currently the county's required pay levels are $9.25 per hour if health care coverage is provided, and S10.59 per hour if it is not. We calculate these pay levels, however, we use $9.44 and $10.81 per hour as "baseline" hourly wage figures while esrnating cosies for a few intermediate levels of $9.50, $10.00, and $10.50 per hour. THEORETICAL ARGUMENTS A$Qi T A LIVING WAgE Arguments concerning living wage ordinatices are similar to those concerning minimmtnn wage legislation. Proponents argue that workers at the lowest wages cannot cam an adequate income unless the government sets a "wage #loon"; the wealth of the country hi being more unevenly and inequitably divided; that "living wages" keep alias intact and are supportive of strong families; wow gain greater self sufficiency; that the government gains because of lowered need for social[ services; communities gain through increased consumer spending in the community; and that even employers gain through higher morale and efficiency with lower turnover of employees. Opponents tend to rely on the ideological belief that the market should be the ultimate determinant of economic distribution; they see any deviation from a strictly "free market" approach as cresting distortions and inefficiencies. Beyond purely ideological arguments, they argue that a Living wage ordinance will cost the movarnment too much; than it will likely lead to unemployment; administrative costs will be huge; competition for city contracts will decrease; and that the "wrong signal" will be sent to the business community, thus discouraging investment in the area. 2 Apr-26-05 11:12am From- T-116 P.06 F-056 This report will not enter into the ideological debate, but will confine itself to the likely empirical effects of passage of a living wage ordinance. Much of the previous research on living wage ordinances gives some indication of the likely impacts. FREV101,1$A,E$E.ENRCII ON LW1N W To date over 110 municipalities and counties and other public entities in the United States have passed living wage ordinances, and a fair amount of research has been done on living wage impacts. They brick down into two types: p ospeative studies, such as the present one, that predict the likely impact if a living wage ordinance is passed, and retrosvp studies, which look back at the actual, impact ear passage. Both types of studies are valuable, but of course the retrospective ones are probably the most valuable because they tell you what actually happened, as opposed to future projections of what will happen. Predictions of'the fixture inevitably rely on assumptions, and are therefore less likely to be entirely reliable. This study cannot review all the studies conducted on living wage ordinances. The interested reader is referred to several web sites that contain a largo cumber of them.' Here we will confine our attention to the resin "after -the -fact" retrospective studies, because they are the most reliable and most important, Two studies looked at the impact of the Baltimore living wage ordinance, passed in 1994. The fist study, conducted in 195, examined the impact after one year in operation (Weisbrot and SforzaRoderick, 1990. The study found evidence supporting nearly all of the claims of ' Three soma's giving listings oriuttlt <two with a favorable view toward living wag+ ordinance: and ono with art sxirextely nagativ[a vi$W) are this %Ro ing; www.utotuttazduipotitresourcuttilivinigwagekhtni, www.6 gi a /gont t efrn iaseuguidakiivingwaskliyingwage, And w► w egionlipm,presy_publ .cfrn. 3 Apr-28-08 11:18am Prom- T-118 P.08 F-058 proponents, and was unable to foul any of the negadvc consequences predicted by opponents. Mal firdings were: * The real cost of city contracts actually decreased after the ordinance went into effect. For the average contract (weighted by its share in the sample), this decline was statistically significant. * Of companies interviewed that held contracts before and after went of the law. none reported reducing staffing levels in response to the higher wage requirements. * The cost to taxpayers of compliance has been minimal. with the city allocating about 17 cent per person annually for this purpose. * The average number of bids per contract declined from 1994 to 1995, but this decline was not statistically significant, nor did it affect the competitiveness of the bidding process as manifested in actual contract costs. * There is no evidence that businesses have responded negatively to the passage ofthe ordinance. In fact, the value &business investreent in the City of Baltimore actually increased substantially in the year after page ofthe law. The second study examined the impact after two years of operation (Miedt, Ruiters, Wise, and Schoenberger, r,1999). The overall conclusions were smaller to those ofthe previous study; * The living wage ordinance has had positive effects on a relatively Mall number of workers in Baltimore without significant financial cost to the City. * Due to the prevalence of part-time and seasonal work, however, living wages do not always amount to lives lnoomes. Greater consideration must be given to increasing and stabilizing hours worked. * The small financial impact on the city suggests that living wages could be paid mom generally in the private and non-profit sectors with a relatively low impact on costs and competitiveness. * Evidence suggests that higher wages and hours improve the stability and reliability of the workforce. * Non-compliance in terms of paying the living wage and/or providing adequate payroll documentation remains a significant problem, affecting the impact ofthe liming wage office and our ability to analyze that impact. * The benefits ofthe living wage may be threatened by the effects of welfare reform. 4 Apr-2 -O5 11:14am From- T-115 P.10/2t F-000 These two studies indicate that& more ideological arguments against a living wage ordinance are not well founded. Another study examining the ixopact of liviog wage ordinances an Boston, New Haven, and Hartford found that the cost to the city of covered contracts actually ,, ixn the vast majority of cases (Pollin, 2003). This does not, of course, mean that the living wage requirement °await the decrease in costs (although that is theoretically possible, through*efficiency wage„ effects malting the higher paid workforce more efficient), but it does indicate that any Increased costs were so small that they were outweighed by other hectors causing overall costs to decrease. A retrospective study of a number of California cities with living wage ordinances found that they were effective in substantially raising the wages of covered workers, and had an impact on reducing urban poverty (Neumark, 2002). The author, David Neunak, is a well known opponent of rninimum wage legislation, so his findings surprised him. Neumark found a small insignificant "disempioyntent"• effect, meaning that a slight decline in jobs occurred. He had expected this disemployment impact to be much smaller than the insignificant amount he discovered. Thus far the retrospective studies have been overwhelmingly positive. Despite this positive evidence, a prudent public official will still want to know the likely cost if a local living wage ordinance is passed. In this study, we will use very conservative assumptions so that any errors in prediction will be on the side of overstating costs, not understating them. The actual cost to the city is likely to be less than our final projection, but we feel it is safer to err oxt the side of caution. L.UELY COSTS QP A1,,IVINGWAGG O 1NA i E In assessing the effects of implementing a living wage ordinance, one must ask the following questions: * Who benefits from the new wage standare1 and how much? * How much will a living wage cost city of Miami? 5 Apr-29-05 11:16am From- T-11$ P.11/2T F-068 The fist step is to identify the benefactors. The primary benefeetors would of course be individuals earning less than the desisted "living wage" either as municipal employees or as workers fbr contractors used by the city in service industries (janitorial, landscaping. security guard, etc). The families of these individuals would also benefit The city and its citizens may benefit through a decrease in the level of poverty and all the attendant ills that come with poverty (crime, welfare dependence, etc.) Taxpayers may also benefit from sevingu *tough not hawing to provide health care and public assistance to those now able to support themselves. And even the contractors employing these individuals may benefit through a more reliable and motivated workforce: absenteeism, tardiness, labor turnover, and the like decrease when rates "above the going rate" are paid. Assuming the ordinance was implemented, to whom would the burden fall? For the increased costs of higher wages and benefits for direct city employees, the burden obviously falls on the city's budget For the private contractors, the limited evident.* we have to date indicates that they are likely to pegs some of any increased costs our to the city, but not all. Those not passed on are handled through interim adjustments within the firm. However, for the purposes of this study we will make a "worst case" assumption for the city: that all additional costs to the contractors win be passed through to the city. We will also, until the end of the analysis, More any "efficiency wage" savings, although available evidence indicates that they do exist. In other words. we rely on pessimistic assumptions, to make certain we are not underestimating costs to the city. The remainder of this study will calculate corers to the city. should it pass and implement a living wage ordinance with the "living wage" set at levels between $9.44 per hour and $10.81 per hour. Fit we will consider the increased cost of paying employees of service contractors with the Apr-29-06 11:16am From- T-118 P.12/21" F-066 city a living wage. Then we will consider increased direct costs to the city's payroll from paying all. of its employees a living wage. City Coact Workers To determine increased cost of city contracts, we filtered all services contracts from a list detailing every open oity contract in the calendar year 2004, which was provided by the City of Miami Purchasing Department. Of the 306 open contracts, the authors sorted each for service -only aontraaets with connectors located in Miami Dade County or neighboring counties. This ultimately left 43 contra. Many contracts were for time periods other than one year in length. In these cases, the costs were rumuallzed the following two ways: * In the case where contracts were awarded in years, the total amount awarded was divided by the number of years the contract was to be active. o contract amount / contract years annualized cost w Where connects were awarded for specific months, the total amount awarded was divided by the number of months and multiplied by 12. o (contract amount /contract months) (12) — annualized curt Overall, the city's tee cost for the 43 service contracb is $6,0201.014.34. From these 43 connects, Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) and North American Industry Clarification Systems (NAICS) codes were assigned based on the contract descriptions to specify which industry the contract serves as listed by the U.S. Cus. (latto://www.census.govieocd/www/econ97.hunl) Both SIC and NAICS codes needed to be used since the Census began using NAICS codes in 1997 to classify industries. The Census, however, provides abridge to link the SIC codes to NAICS. (biangbame1 aige vie www/naieatab am) To ensure the assigned codes were correct for every contract, each was verified with the vendors' registered codes as listed in the Flondu Business 7 Apr-20-06 11;17am From- 1-118 P.13/27 F-0649 Directory (2004) and the Dun and Bradstreet Regional Bw seas Directory for South Florida (2004 As a result, the following S1C/NAICS codes were used: * 1711/235110 — plumbing, Heating, and Air -Conditioning Contractors * 1743/235430 — Tile, Marble, Terrazzo, and Mosaic Contractors * 1795/235940 — Wrecking and Demolition Contractors * 1796/235950 — Building Equipment and Other Machinery Installation Contractors * 1799/235990 — All Other Special Trade Contractors * 2951/324121 — Asphalt Paving Mbctare and Block Manufacturing * 7534/326212 — Tire Retreading * 4151/485410 -- School and Employee Bus Transportation * 4499/488330 — Navigational Services to Shipping * 7549/48841 a — Motor Vehicle Towing * 4215/492100 — Couriers * 8734/541380 — Testing Laboratories * 7363/561320 — Temporary T e1p Services * 73 81 /561 6 13 — Armored Car Services * 7342/561710 — EMerminating and Past Control Services * 7349/561720 — Janitorial Services * 0782/561730 — Landscaping Services * 7217/561 740 — Carpet and Upholstery Cleaning Services * 4212/562111— Solid Waste Collection * 4953/562211-1 Hazardous Waste Treatment and Disposal * 1799/562910 — Rcmcdiation Services * 7999/71131 0 — Promoters of Performing Arts. Sports, and Similar Events with Facilities * 75.37/811113 —Automotive Transmission Repair * 7539/811118 — Other Automotive Mechanical and Electrical Repair and Maintenance * 7532/811121 — Automotive Body, Paint, and interwar Repair' and Maintenance * 7536/811122 — Automotive Glass Replacement Shops * 7534/811198 —All Other Automotive Repair and Maintenance * 7629/811212 — Computer and Office Machine Repair and Maintenance Aside from using the Census to classify industries, data reporting industry total receipts, salaries, number of establishments, and employees (part -lime turd full-time) was collected from the; U.S. Economic Census websitc. agted/www.censteproyinceliec97/us/US000.1-1Thl) For most industries, the data was extracted at the Miami PMSA level given that it provides the most accurate description of employment and industry activity as possible. In some cases, data was not reported at this level so state or national figures were used instead2. a The following ithlasaies ware not available et the Miami PMSA level: 8 Aar-24-06 1i:18am from- T-116 P.14/27 F-010 To determine an approximate total of employment per $100,000 in receipts, the following equation was used: #employees x receipts 100000 The number of employees was multiplied by 100,000 and divided by the total receipts. Aside from generating the industry's receipts per 100,000 employee totals„ we converted the total employees earning less than the proposed living wage into full-time equivalent (FTE) totals using the equation below: (mean hours worked ! 40) (# of employees) FTE F'l'E is equal to one person working full-time for an entire year. The mean hours were determined by taidng the average number of hours reported by the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS) data for each industry and then divided by 40. This amount, multiplied by the total employees earning below the living wage levels, provides the FTE figures for each industry. The purpose of converting employee totals to FTE is simply for comparison purposes when dealing with part-time and full-time employee figures. As noted, the FTE equation relies on data from 1PUMS. IPUMS data consists of samples from U.S. Census data that focuses primarily on individual and household informedon. The 2000 5% Census PUMS sample was used to determine the hourly wage for employees of each indusuy3. The purpose of using the industry variable is to match those respondents that worked in industries similar to the open contacts being =mined in Miami. 1PUMS does not provide an hourly wage - Flor d,. - 235110, 235434 235950. 235990. 324121 ix.. -- 235940, 326212 - 1PUMS - 561T20 - Duna, &'adsareot - 561730 3 The following variabks were selected; (1) Mina i/Hialleeh Metropolitan Area, (2) if the respondent was in the labor fame the previous year, (3) numbcar of weeks worked, (4) number of hours worked, and (5) wage and salary incomes. SUMO data from JAMS was needed for indastries 3241M and 32621 because there were Hoot enough responders available at the mtmlclpal Level to develop an ammo estimate ado industry in the region. 9 Aar-20-06 11:16am From- T-116 P.15/2T F-066 for the workers. To calculate an hourly raze variable, the authors divided the worker's income by the lumber of weeks worked and then by the average weekly hours worked as illustrated by the equation below. Income weekgworked howsworAwd While the sample does not list NAICS codes to six digits as the Census does, it offers NAICS codes between two and five digita4. The aim of fusing IPUMS data is to determine an average hourly wage and the proportion of workers earning leas than the specific amounts. In this case, the specified living wage standards examined are S9.44 and $10.81 par hour to represent the upper and lower ends of the pay range with 50-cent intervals between $9.50 and $10.50 in between., Based on the average wages, one is able then to determine the average increase cost. For comparison proposes, Table 1 shows the average hourly pay increase those below the living wage would gain, should an ordinance be passed at that level. 4 The industry codes used as fisted by 'FMCS are listed by code and industry deseeiptfaa: O 23 - Cation o 3241M - Misc. Petioleum and Coal Products o 32621--Tires o 485M Bus Service and Urban Minsk a 488 - Service& Incidental to Tnineportation o 492 - Couriers and Messengers a $413 - Architectural. Engineering and Mated Servioc O 5613 - Employment Services o 5616 - Investigation and Security Services O 56173 - Landscaping Services o 56 t 7Z - Services to Buildings and Dwellircga o 561M - Other Adminiatradve and Other Support Services O 562 - Wate Mgmt snd R+ntioa Scrvic o 711- Performing Arts attd Related Services o * 111Z - Automotive Repair and Maintenance o 8112 - Electronic Equip. Repair and Maintenance 10 Apr-20-01) 11.19am From- T-11$ P.16/27 F-004 Table 1 Aw rap hourly pay increases for each lndustry at differing living wage" rate Industry $9.25 hr, $944/hr. $9,50lhr. 10/ht. $10.50/hr. A.$10.59/hr $10.81/hr. 23 - Construction $2.94 $3.09 $3.12 $3.33 $3.55 $3.57 $3.72 $2.03 3241M - Misc. Petroleum 'and Coal Product $2.25 $2.44 $2.50 $3.00 $2.07 $2.16 32621-Tires $2.87 $3.06 $3,12 $3,33 $3.40 $3.49�' $3.5$ 485M . Bus Service and Urban Transit $2,64 $2.73 $2.69 $2.92 $3.28 _ $3.31 $3.53 488 - Services Incidental to Transportation $2.81 $2.91 $2.96 $3.10 $3.33 $3.36 _ $3.51 492 - Couriers and Messengers ... $2.72 _ $2.91 $2.97 F 32.92 r $3.08 $3.10 $3.24 $413 - Architectural, •Engineering & Services $2.50 ? $2.63 ' $2.69 ' $2.79 ' $2.97 ' $3.0 i -" $3.23 5613 - Emplo ment Services $3.17 $3.27'- $3.33: $3.68 $3.80 ' $3.77 ' $3.99 5616 - Investigation and ' Security Sor viers $3.03 $3.19 53.23 $3.5 53.81 $3.86 $4.06 SS61 �+- Landscaping $3.39 , $3.51 $3.55 $3.88 .- $4.17 $4.21 $4.40 $4.39 5617Z - Services to Building and Dwellings $3.33 $3.52 $3.51 $3,85 ^ $4.24 $4.31 561M - Other Administrative and Other Support Services $3.17 $3,36 $3.29 $3,43 $3.70 $3.67 $3.89 562 - Waste Mont and Romodiation Services $3.24 $3.43 $3.49 $3.49 $3.56 $3.44 $3.56 711 - Perron/ling Arts and Related Services $3.37 $3.31 $3.33 $3.60 v $3.90 $3.87 $4.05 8111Z - Automotive Repair wind Maintenance $►2.92 $3.03 .. $3.06 $3,26 $3.47 $3,53 $3.69 8112 - Electronic Equip. Repair and Maintenance $2.97 $3.16 $3.22 $3.13 - $2.98 - $3.07 r $3.29 From the information provided by the tables above, assimiing that the labor demand remains constant, one could estimate the cost of implementing a living wage an the city's service contracts. The first task war to determine how many FTEs were required to fulfiu the services the contracts demanded. This was estimated by taking the PTE totals from the Census data and applying it to then following equation: #ndustryr"TErate x = confraciFTE 100000 contract cos lk Apr-29-06 11:20am From- T-116 P.17/2T F-066 The contract FTFs were then multiplied by the average hourly wage differences determined using the MUMS data to show the hourly cost of raising employees in each industry to the living wage niinimu=ax. Table 2 shows the increased costs by industry, and total increased costs, at each possible level of the "living wage". Table 1 was used to determine the costs by multiplying the contract FTE by the average increaSc. We assumed 2,080 hours per year worked (40 hours per week X 52 weeks per year). A 7.65% FICA (social security and :Medicare teat} was aggregated to determine the final total cost for vendors to meet the living wage standard for all employees. Table 2 Living wage costs by industry at differing "living wage" rates _ NAICS $925/hr. $9.44hor.. $9. 0lhr. 101hsr. $10.50/hr. $10.591hr. $10.31/hr 2 10 $2 705.V $2 843.66 2 944. 9 64.5 $ .99 $3 285A0 $3 423.4 235430 $882.12 $927.13 $960.13. 999.14 $►1.065.15 $1,071.15 $10t239.8$ $1,110.1 $70 ti7 . 3 235940 $8)432.114 $86"� ,.08 $917$. i0 $9,551.48 $101182.51 215950 $1,849.33 $1.944.20 0)3.41 $2,095.21 $2,233.64 $2,246.22 r $2,340.._ ,__ 235990 $329.15 3345.94 51.26 072.111 1;397.44 $399 6$ $416,48 $77.27`_- $5,018.05 324121 $89A5 0218 95.16 S114.20 $711 A $82,22 326212 , $4,022.85 $4,289.16 , L373,27 'S4.e 7.62 $4,76 .74 _ $4,891.90 485410 $5,934.92 ,137 5� $047.33 86,564.38 37,373.69 $7�441,13 37.935.71 $5,328..6'1 4 .45 765.93 48 410 $$4 $4,417.74 $4: 933 65 S4 706.18 $,5,05535 85, 00.89 • 492100 'i $6,64 $14)55' .56 $1,077.33 $1,059.20 $1,117.23 $1,124a� $1 17 .24j,, _,� S 11 83 0 143,113.33 8130,553.25 $153„9119.97 $168,873.76 $170,018.67 817,2008.48 $1 3 $61320 $4,52833 $4,671.39 $4t757.10 1,5 57.10 $5,428.52 $4,29996 $5 .95 $81.81 561613 $61.06 $64.29 165.09 $70.33 S76.78 $77.79 561730 $119.30 $126.11 r 8125.75 S13/.93 . 115.90 815461 $157. 561720 ' $60,537.46 $63t991.54 $31,020.70 $63e$09.74 ,053.51 ' 5O,9_99 .74 12 ,237A4 7720N 72 .. $32,558 $7, 353,2$_ S35,092.38 $79,807, $31r866. 5 561730 $28,444.19 56t740 012.75 824,097.59 .25t46o.25 $27+826.+98 $29,906.83 830193.70 , $27 891.1 562111 S97042.117 89,784.56 $91385.111 $9,784.55 S10,354.76 $10,469.18 $10,155.40 _ $.534.07 $62211 $486.07 $314,37 $523.57 $523.57 $534.07 $516.07 562910 $1,842.71 $1,950.77 $1,984.89 81,984.89 $2,024.70 $1,956.45 $2,024.70 711310 $15„81$.46 $161090.34 $1 8$1.15 fly 3, $ 7.4314.52 416t948.4 $119, 87, 7 811113 $ J2 7.18 $4.7 .7,1 �7 .30 ` SO .70 6r � - 08311 ..1_ 1111 1 4 1.49 r $1 .16 P >� $ LS. 1. D i .P $1,30 �176.76 AS 1 is 075.01 Tf 1 r 811121 $39 569.37 &!1 l?59.99 $4166.53 $47� .51 F 847 835.58 850 003.76 811132 4997 88199 90.7 948.94 83, 41.07 1,027,53 074 11. 811Pi$ 624.32 .92 9. r4'0 , 56.53 3,4�4.57 3,50• 1f 11212 761.83 $1 .19 . .76 $1697.4/ - $1. 16.33 $1962.07 .. 1 81966. _ 12 Apr-26-08 11:20am From- T-116 P.18/2T F-050 Table 3 summarizes the total increased costs to contractors at each of the living wage levels discussed previously. The wage increase column represents the cost for contractors to increase their workers' wages in order to meet the live wage. Given that the full amount awarded by the city i% r service contracts is $6,020,004.34, the payroll increase to meet living wage requirements would be a 6.46% at $9.44 per hour or 7.87% at $10.81 per hour addition to the city's current contract expenses. As for the impacts at $9. , $9.50, $10, $10.50, and $10.39 an hour, the increases are 6.17%, 6.51%, 7.03%, 7.39%, and 7.45% respectively. Table 3 Total comma to coutraetors at various riving wage amounts LivingWage Wage ,, FICA Increase Total $9.25/h . [n ►� $344,932.56 w $26,387.34 i m.} 71,319.90 — $ 44/laar. 1361,014.99 $27,617.65 $31g1t 64 $9.50/hr. $365,022.94 $27,924.26 $29,566.17 S3921947.29 $416,052.03 $10.00/br. $386 485.88 $1 .50/kflr. $414,106.47 $418,304.02 $31679.15 $31,867.06 , $445i'788.62 1400,171.08 . $473,778.89 $10.59/hr. $10.81/hr. ,__ $440,110.44 $33,668.45 Cfcy of Mini l Employees A list of every city employee earning less than $12 per hour was collected from the Department of Employee Relations for the City of Miami. This list was used to assess the cost of increasing payroll to meet the same living wage levels examined for the city's contractors. The cast of implementing a living wage for the City's employees equals the sway of the differences between the living wage standard and each employee's hourly rates. This would determine the city's total cost on an hourly basis. To attain a biweekly cost, each employee's living wage difference was multiplied by his/her , scheduled hours. The biweekly total was then multiplied by 26 to determine an annual cost. For the sake of accuracy, part -lime and full-time employees were assessed separately, 13 Apra-20-06 11:21am From- T-11e$ P.I0/2T F-000 Overall, there are 317 part-time end 327 full-time employees in the city as of January 2004 who are earning leas that $12 per hour, Table 4 shows the total number of employees earning below the living wage lever being elonnined. In total, the city had 449 employees earning under $9.25 per hour; 458 km than $9.44; 459 below $9.50 per hour; 470 under $10 per hoar; 508 less than $10.50 per hour; 512 below $10.59 per hour; and 531 under $10.81. Table 4 - Number of city emplo ccs earning less them various )living wage levels Living Wage Fart time _ Full-time $9.25/hr. 265 184 $9.44/hr. _ n 265 193 59.50/hr. 265 194 $10.001hr. 265 205 $10.50/hr. 281 227 $10.$9/hr, 285 227 $10.81/hr. , 286 245 . The part -thee employees referred to in Table 4 have the following characteristics: the 265 reinstall less than $10/hr. earn an average of about $6.85 per hour. The 281 and 285 taming less than $10.50/hr. and $10.59/hr. average $7.03 and $7.09 per hour respectively. Moreover, the 286 earning Imo that $10.81/hr. average $7.10/hr. All of the part tl sue employees work en average of about 32.9 hours per week. The full...tint* employees referred to in Table 4 have the following characteristics: all of them average 40 hours per week, and they earn on average $7.83/hr., 57.90/her., 57,91/hr., 58.02/hr., $8.23/hr., $8.23/hr., and 58.52/hr. at each of the respective "living wage" lever. Table 5 shows the costs of increasing part-time worker wages to meet the living who. Included is an annual cost with the 7.65% 171CA increase. At $9,44 per hour, the FICA expense amounts to $88,829.18, while at $10.81 per hour, it sums to $138,060.31. 14 Apr-29-06 11:22am From- T-1l6 P.20/2i F-056 Table 5 Living wage costs f rr City of Miami part-ttme employees Annually Annual Code w/FICA Living Wage Hourly Biwee rly $9.25/hr. $635.01 . $41,352.32 $1,075,160,32 51,1574•410.08 $1 49 994.90 $9.44/hr. $685,36 $44,660.22 $1 161 165.72 $9.50/hr. $701.26 $45,704.82__ $1,188,325.32 $1,279,232.21 _ $10,00/hr. $833.76 $54,409.82 $12414,655.32 51,653,521.22 51,522,876.45 I 51,780,015.59 $10.50)hr. $973.72 $63,596.97 $10.59/hr. 099.37 $65,281.32 —..► $1,697,314.32 $1,827458.87 51,942,770.23 $10.81l1”*. $1,062.26 , $69,411.92 $I,804,709,92 Table 6 demonsuntes the costs of increasing fill --time employee payroll to equal living wage standards in addition to the 7.65% FICA expense. At $9.44 per hour, the FICA expense amounts to $47,236.22, while at $10.81 per hour, it sums to $93,345,35. Table Living wage rots for City of Miami lull tlme am --.-- - Liv' W e Hourl Biweekl Annual Annual Cost wfFICA. $9.25/hr. $261.13 $20,890.40 $543„130A0 5584,701.41 ,, $9.44/hr. $296.86 $23z748.73 $?4k679.13 ,, $6171466.93 $641,657,33 $664,703.15 $690,744.12 59.50/hr. $308.49. $10.00/hr. 5407.70 _ $32,615.72 $41j282.22 $848,008,72 $11073,337.82 , $912,881.39 51,155,448.16 a $10.50/hr. $516.03 $10,59/1v. _ $536.46 $42,916.62 51,115,832.22 $1, 01,193.38 _ $10.81/hr, _ _, $586.63 $46,930.79 r„ $1r220,20Q.59 $1,313,545.94 ., By adding the costs for both part-time and full-time employee, the city can obtain its total labor costs as presented in Table 7, The increased costs represent 0.62% of the ctty's personnel expenses; in FY 2004 at $9,44 per hour and 1.05% at $10.81 per hour. (City of Miami, 2003) Table 7 Total city employee costs Living Wage Part-time Full-time Total $9.25/br. 51 157 410.08 $584 701.41 $17 111.49 $9.44/hr. $1,249,994,90 $664,703.15 51,914,698.05 $9.5011r, 51,279,232.21 _ $690,744.12 $1,969,976.33 $1 O.00/br. $1,522,876.45 ... $1,780,015.59 $912,881.39 $1,155,448.16 _ . $2,435,757.84 . ,935,463.75 $10.50/hr. _ $10.59/1r. $1,827, 158.87 $1,2014 3.3 8 $34/28 52.25 15 Apr-26-06 11:23am From- T-116 P.21/27 F-066 $10,111,1hr, f $1�942,770.23 $1,313,545,94 1 il3A256,316.17 in conclusion, Table 8 provides the total additional payroll costs incurred if the city were to adopt the living wage. The total cost includes both municipal payroll costa and increased payrolls costs for service contractors. Table B Total additional payroll costs at differing living wage rates .� Li ' w Contracts 10 e es Total $925/iur, $3711319.90 $1,742,111.49 $2,1135427.38 $9.44/hr. $388,632.64 $1,914,698.05 S2,383,330.69 $9.50/hr. $3921947.20 $1,969,976.33 $2,362,167. i $10.0042r. $416,052.05 $2,435,757.84 $2,858,855.91 0 $10,50/br .. $44S{785.62 $2z935,463.75 $3„300,061.25 $10.59/hr. $450j171.08 $3,028 35225 $3,476 782.07 . $10.81/hr. _„ _. $473,778.89 $356,316.17 $3,730,095.06 These figures illustrate the total increased payroll costs to all employers. The authors believe this is an "upper end" estimate: of what the total costs to the city could be, because it incorporates assumptions that modmize costs to the city beyond what is likely. For example, we assume that all additional contractor payroll costs will be passed on the city in the form of higher contract costs. As research elsewhere has demon, often living wage ordinances do not result in gay increased contract costa to the city adopting a living wage. Also, we made no allowance fbr an "efficiency wage" effect, Fect, although evidence indicate that there will likely be one. Workers who are paid "above the norm" tend to be absent less, tardy less often, less prone to quit, to have higher morale and to put in greater effort, etc. The savings from lower employee turnover alone will likely be substantial. None of these savings are incorporated into the calculations used to arrive at the above figures. Of course there would be other benefits and savings to the city from adoption of a living wage policy. These "indirect benefits" would be very hard to quantify however, and we make no attempt to do so here. However, it is important to realize that workers who we able to pull 16 Apr-20-05 11:23am From— T-116 P.22/27 f-05a3 themselves out of poverty, perhaps afford the down payment on a modest home, provide for their own health cage rather than relying on the emergency room of Jackson Memorial Hospital, send their children on to college rather than making them work to support the family, etc. become an asset to the city and the surrounding county, rather than a "drag" on it, both economically and in civic contributions to the community. There could be additional indirect costs too, however. The two most significant are potential monitoring oasts, and a 'ripple" effect cost. Monitoring costs refer to the personnel expenses the city may incur in implementing and overseeing the living wage ordinance. Predicting the cost of this on Miami is difficult, it may cost next to nothing, if the city is able to assign living wage monitoring costs to existing city pommel aiready overseeing similar work. rf alp city would need to add additional personnel, costs may rise. We make no prediction of what the+ city would do in this regard — we only note that the cost could range anywhere from SO to $200,0O0, depending on how elaborate the city chooses to be in its monitoring and oversight. Monitoring costs me not mandatory and it is up to the city's discretion as ro how the living wage initiative would be implemented and monitored. The same is true for potential "ripple" effects. The ripple effect refers to pay increases that rhe0.y be gated beyond what is required by the living wage ordinance. The city aand)or city contractors may choose to do this to maintain some degree of pay differentials at the bottom of the wage structure between employees with different skills and/or length ol!employment, For example, if the new living wage floor if $ 1 0 per hour, will a a an employer raise the pay of employees previously making S6.50 per hour and $9.75 per hour to $10 per hour? Or will the employee previously making $9.75 per hour get a larger increase, beyond that required by the law? 17 Apr-26-O5 11:20am From- T-116 P.23/27 F-066 This is an issue that is up to employers to decide. but many of than (almost certainly the city) will decide to grant additional raises, to maintain a degree ofpay differential, It is important to note here that a `ripple effect" pay increase is not p nc ory. As long as the city pays contract and municipal employees at the legally mandated level, the extent of a ripple cost would depend solely on the city's judgments Determining the size of the ripple effect is perhaps the most challenging issue to address. Bemuse this Is entirely a discretionary matter for the city to decide, we can only recommend that the city keep ripple effects to a minimum, using a method similar to that advocated in footnote 5. Deoause there is no way to predict what the city will decide to do regarding "cripple effect" wage increases, we leave out any estimate hare. (We 4o know that private contractors will make the ripple effect rases minimal, because market pressures will induce them to highly compress the wage differentials at the very bottom of the wage scale. So we are very confident that ripple costs will be very minimal for the oity's service contracts.) If the city rationally addresses the monitoring and ripple costs, we are very confident that all increased costs will be completely offset by the efficiency wage and partial.-pasa-through cost savings. Therefore, we stand by the numbers in Table 8 as prudent estimates of total costs to the city. should it pass a living wage ordinance, With intelligent implementation, the costs could be lower — much lower, as experience elsewhere has shown. While the final declsloa belongs to du city, the authors would recommend that the clty' consider implementing pay to tip below the new living wage level in a manner that awe, but snalntabts, the pay differentials. For exempla, starting with the lowest paid worker, if the new pay structure maintains e 2 coat pay differential for each 10 ow pear cal under the old PRY the pay Increases would get progressively smaller as you move up the pay soaks, fly decreasing to $0 at scone point between, $1 and $1,50 above the new "living wager" foot. Differential pay levels are maintained, additional costs are mpiaimtz td, and the airy avoids inadvertently paying wage increases to employes who are in a higher segment of the labor meet then that of the living wage beneficiaries. 18 Apr-20-06 11:26am From- T-116 P.24/2T F-066 Stupidly AND CONCLUSIONS Ae illustrated, implementing a living wage in Monti at $9.44 per hour could cost the city roughly $2.3 million The corresponding figure would be $3.7 million at a $10.81 per hour living wage rate. These figures represent 0.74% and 1.,21% of the dty's current personnel budget of $309.38 million. This report has focused only on costs, not the benefits of a living wage ordinance. We fund the costs to be rather small, in the vicinity of d °/a of the city's personnel budget. If the city were to follow the pattcm set by the Miami -lam Living Wage Ordinance by requiring a wage of $9.44/hr. if health insurance benefits are provided or $10.81/hr., if they are not indexed for inflation in later years. The final cost would end up somewhere between the $2.3 million and $3.7 million coat calculated at those two wage levels, depending on the number of covered employees who already are provided health insurance. Since some presently have health coverage and many do not, the final cost le likely to be approximately $3 million, It could very well end up costing less than this, but budgeting for this amount xt would be prudent if the city wishes to be certain it can afford the cost. Whether this cost is worth the many benefits of a living wage Is a political decision for the Miami City Commission to make. This report has detailed the likely costs, which end up being rather small. In the estimation of the authors, the well-known anti -poverty benefits and the mall cost make adoption ofa living wage ice a very attractive option, 19 Apr-20-06 11:26am from- T-116 P.2E127 F-066 CITiA'1"IONS xi 1997 Econom/c Census: Bridge between NAICS and SIC [Data Mile]. Washington, D.C.: United Sys Census Bureau Retrieved March 22, 2004, from kitrp_:/lwww.cenFissov/e • .. ' 7 6 it - 1997 Economic Census: Summary statistics for Miami —Fort Lauderdale, FL C,1997 NAILS basis [Detente]. Washington, D.C.: United States Census Bureau. Retrieved March 22, 2004, from http://www.eepsuagoviepcdiec97/metro4/M499;4411VI. 1997 Economic Census: Summary statistics for Florida, 1997 NAICS basis [Data file]. Washington, D.C.: United States Comma Bureau. Retrieved Match 22, 2004, from ltttp://www.ctnsus.epv/epcd497/11/F1,000.1frvi. 1997 Economic Census: Summary statistics for United States, 1997 NAILS basis [Data file). 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Miami, FL, Florida Intentional University Center for Labor Research and Studies Poll, R. (2003). Evaluating living wage laws in the United States: Good intentions and economic: reality in conflict? (Research Report No. 2). University of 1VXassechusetta .Amherst, Political Economy Research Institute. Schutz, E. A. (2000). A living wage in Orange County: Arguments curd research. Retrieved March 22, 2004, from ittn,//www.oranaecountvfl-livingwage.oralresearch.htm. 21 Apr-20-05 11:28am From- T-116 P.27/27 F-016 Weisbr+ot, M. & Sfo za-Roderick, M. (1996). Baltimore 's laving wage law: An analysis of the fiscal and economic costs of'Baltimore City Ordinance 442. Retrieved on May 10, 2004, from httg:!/www.ccyr.net/colurnnslweisbrot TUbaltdmorc.html. Weiss. A. (1990). gliciency wages: Models of artentployment layojA and wage dispersion. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. 22