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HomeMy WebLinkAboutEconomic Impact AnalysisURBAN RIVER Economic Impact Analysis Submitted to: City of Miami Prepared For: URBAN RIVER PARTNERS, LLC Prepared by: SHARPTON, BRUNSON & COMPANY, P.A. One Southeast Third Avenue Suite 2100 Miami, Florida 33131 (305) 374-1574 • • • URBAN RIVER TABLE OF CONTENTS THE PROJECT OVERVIEW EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Introduction Summary of Benefits PAGE(S) 2 3 OBJECTIVES AND DEFINITIONS Objectives 5 Definition of Economic and Tax Impact 5 Direct and Indirect Effects 5 Measures of Economic Impact 6 Description of Results 7 DISCUSSION OF THE RESULTS BY ECONOMIC INDICATORS Impact Indicators 8 Results of Indicators 8 Impact of Construction 8 Impact of Ongoing Operations 9 Impact on Local Tax Revenues 9 Analysis by Economic Indicators 9 Employment 9 Wages 10 Output 10 Local Taxes 11 Public Sector Cost 12 Impact Fees 12 EXHIBITS Exhibit I: Summary of Economic Impact Exhibit II: Impact and Other Fees 13 14 • • • Project Overview The proposed development consists of the entire block bound on the east by NW 6 Avenue; on the south by NW 7th Street; on the west by NW 7th Avenue and NW 8th Street- on the north, in the city of Miami, Florida (the "Property"). The Property is designated Industrial in the City of Miami Future Land Use Map which is part of the City of Miami Comprehen- sive Neighborhood Plan (the "Plan"). The Property is zoned I, Industrial, in the City of Miami Official Zoning Atlas, and the City's Zoning Ordinance No. 11000 (the "Ordinance"). The Property consists of approximately 182,798 square feet (4.196 acres) of net lot area and 235,122 square feet (5.4 acres) of gross lot area. The Property is underutilized and prime for redevelop- ment. The proposed development consists of 577 residential units, 7,700 square feet of retail along NW 7th Avenue and 948 parking spaces all contained within 6 towers of varying heights with the shortest tower abutting NW 7th Avenue and the tallest tower oriented towards the downtown side of the Property (collectively the "Development"). The mixed use nature of the proposed Development requires an amendment to the Plan to redesignate the Property "Restricted Commercial"; an amendment to the Ordinance to rezone the Property to C-1, Restricted Commercial, and a Major Use Special Permit. The NW 7th Avenue corridor is experiencing a new rebirth with similar developments occurring to the south of the Property. This Property is rundown and in dire need for redevelopment. This Development is a logical and compatible extension of mixed use development on the east side of NW 7 Avenue. The Development is a pioneering project in that it is the first market rate project of its kind in the area. The developers are excited about the prospect of beginning the development of this neighborhood and hope to attract high quality neighbors once the public sees the quality of this Development. Once completed, the Development will be a significant asset to the City of Miami and a major contributor to the rebirth of the western fringes of the City's down, town area. The Development incorporates many innovative urban design features including the pedestrian activation of NW 7 Avenue by providing street level retail, an entrance plaza, and those enumerated in the attached Planning and Zoning Department's Pre -Application Design Review Comments. The provisions of residential units and retail spaces fronting all four streets and lining the entire garage height integrate the Development into the entire neighborhood. The Development contains amenities including an approximate 10,725 square feet open ground level park, two similar roof deck recreational centers each with lavishly landscaped pool area, meeting room, and a gymnasium. The Development exceeds the Ordinance's green space requirements. The Development also exceeds the Ordinance's parking requirements by 40 spaces. 1 • Introduction This document represents an in- depth economic and tax benefits analysis Of the developmental and operation of a first class condominium building and retail facilities. The Project currently contem- plated is comprised of the following components: ❑ 577 units of high -quality residential. ❑ 7,700 square feet of retail. ❑ 948 parking spaces. This analysis encompasses the entire Project and estimates the economic and tax benefits for both its developmental and operational phases. 2 • • Summary of Benefits The Project will bring significant economic benefits to the city of Miami "(the City). This section summarizes the impact of the project on employment, public sector revenues and other economic benefits as a result of the develop- ment. Employment Employment considerations include the direct employment resulting from the Project. Average developmental construction phase employment will be for approximately 423 employees and the Project management is expected to employ 14 people for on -going maintenance and opera- tions of the facilities. Wages To compute the wages associated with the new employment we started with budgeted data directly related to the developmental and operational phases of the Project, and we incorporated data from our research on retail sales. Total direct and indirect impacts expected from wages associated with the new development approximate the follow- ing: One Time $59,194,800 Tax Revenue The estimate of the public sector revenues associated with the development includes taxes and other revenues generated directly by the Project. Although public sector costs are important ele- ments in measuring fiscal impact, these benefits have not been quantified in this document. This analysis only measures the benefits derived from the development. Annual tax revenue expected to be created totals $3,370,418. Output The estimate of total economic impact is measured by total output. This analysis measures the eco- nomic impact of developmental costs and ongoing, operational expenditures. To determine the effect of respending within the City, we utilized a multiplier to compute total direct and indirect benefits. Total output expected to be generated, as a result of the developmental and operational phases of the Project will approx- imate the following: One Time $ 187,827,495 Annual $ 1,268,460 Annual $ 8,127,540 3 • • • Summary of Benefits Significant Community Benefits: Jobs >. Wages • Taxes • Economic Activity Residents' Spending Impacting Local Businesses: Food Recreation/Entertainment • Transportation • Retail The following table and charts summarize the economic impact of the Urban River development. CONSTRUCTION PERIOD ANNUAL IMPACT RECURRING Economic Activity Stimulated Output $ 187,827,495 $ 8,127,540 Wages 59,194,800 1,268,460 Taxes 3,370,418 $ 247, 022, 295 .. 12,766,418 Jobs Created 423 14 4 • Objectives And Definitions Objectives The objective of this analysis is to provide information -on the various benefits created by the Project and to prepare an estimate of such benefits to the City. Our analysis is based on an economic model, which estimates economic and tax impacts of various projects on a designated area. The model is specifically tailored to the City of Miami (the City). Definition of Economic and Tax Impact The construction and subsequent oper- ation of the Project will create important benefits within the City. These benefits include new income, new jobs, new tax revenue and new economic activity impacting upon every sector of the local economy. Moreover, through the multiplier effect of respending and reinvesting, indirect economic benefits are added to the direct benefits brought about by initial construction expenditures, the expenditures from ongoing operations and new spending at the retail enterprises. Direct and Indirect Effects The total economic impact of public and private projects and policies on a region does not end with the impact from the initial construction expenditures; the continued benefits to the local economy must also be considered. Income to firms furnishing construction materials and services is subsequently converted into employee salaries, material purchases, investment in plant and equipment, savings, profits, purchases of services, and a variety of other economic activities. Income to laborers is subsequently respent for purchasing of food, housing, transportation, education, entertainment, medical and dental services, clothing, personal services, and a wide variety of other goods and services. Furthermore, income to the govern- mental unit is respent as salaries, purchases, and support of a variety of programs, including education, transportation, and social services. In turn, individuals, firms, and governments furnishing these goods and services again spend their income for more purchases, salaries, investments, and savings. In this manner, indirect benefits result each time the initial sum is respent, and the additional sum available in the local economy induces further job creation, business development and savings. Quantification of these indirect benefits has been the object of considerable economic study. Because economic relationships are so complex in our modern society, no single area or political unit is a completely self-contained economic unit. Therefore, purchases from other areas and political units are necessary, and goods services are exported in return. As purchases are made from other units, some of the benefits of economic respending are lost to the local economy. Ultimately, a smaller and smaller portion of the initial sum would remain, until, after several rounds of respending, an insignifi- cant sum is left. 5 • • Objectives And Definitions The indirect effects can be viewed as a set of "ripples" in the economy. Indirect, like direct, resources require labor, materials, equipment and services for their production to induce further job creation and spending of wages. The "ripple" of the indirect effect multiplies the original impact of the purchase. The common measure of the magnitude of the "ripple" effect is called a multiplier. A multiplier measures the total magnitude of the impact on each particular economic indicator as a multiple of the initial, direct effect. For instance, a multiplier of "1" would signify no "ripple" effects as the total impact is 1 times the initial impact, while a multiplier of "2" would imply that the total impact is 2 times the direct effect. The actual magnitude of a multiplier depends on the likelihood the goods and services purchased in a region would be produced in, or provided from the region. The model we used to estimate the total economic impact incorporates a multiplier developed by utilizing past consumption and production patterns in the City. There will be significant economic benefit derived from the expenditures of the residents of the Project on eating, drinking, grocery, recreation, retail etc. This report does not include the economic impact of such expenditures. Measures of Economic Impact Various measures can be used to indicate the impact of a policy or project on a region. Specifically, for this study, they are the increases in local employment, wages, tax revenue and output that result. Definitions of these meas- ures are as follows: Employment is measured full-time equivalent jobs. Wages include wages, salaries, and proprietor's income only. They, may include non -wage compen- sation, such as pensions, insurance, and other fringe benefits. Wages are assumed to be expended by households in the area at which the wage-earner works. Local taxes include additional revenues from both ad valorem and non ad valorem assessments. Direct expenditures include those sums expended for land acquisi- tion, site preparation and all hard and soft costs associated with a project. Indirect expenditures are those sums expended within the local economy as a result of the "ripple" effect described earlier. Output describes total economic activity, and is essentially equiva- lent to the sum of direct and indirect expenditures (exclusive of wages and taxes). 6 • • Objectives And Definitions Description of Results For the purpose of describing :the total economic benefits of the Project, the related expenditures and economic activity stimulated have been broken into two categories: Developmental Annual Recurring Developmental expenditures include those expenditures related to the design and construction phase of the Project and related amenities. Annual recurring activities stimulated are those expenditures incurred in connection with the ongoing operation of the Project, and the sales and expenditures of the retail enterprises leasing space at the Project. 7 • Discussion Of The Results By Economic Indicators Impact Indicators We measured the Project's impact on four commonly used indicators of economic activity. Those indicators are: Jobs Wages r Total output Local taxes Results of Indicators Exhibit 1 details the Project's direct and indirect impact on the above economic indicators for Miami. A summary of such impact follows: DEVELOPMENT fOne Time) OUTPUT Direct Indirect ANNUAL Operational: Direct indirect $ 99,950,774 87,876,721 $ 187.827.495 $ 4,325,000 3, 802.540 S 8.127.54Q The economic indicator most commonly measured, and publicly reported on to gauge the economic impact of a public project is output. The impact of a project on the indicator output is often referred to as the project's economic impact. Impact of Construction The site preparation and construction expenditures, including soft costs and impact fees are estimated at $128 million. Such activity will create approxi- mately 423 new full time equivalent jobs and employ a maximum of 498 workers during peak periods. The workers will earn approximately $31.5 million in direct wages. WAGES TAXES EMPLOYMENT $ 31,500,000 27,694,800 423 $ 59.194.800 423_ $ 675,000 $3,370,418 14 593,460 $ 1 ,268,460 $3,370,418 14 8 • Discussion Of The Results By Economic Indicators Impact of Ongoing Operations As a result of the on -going operation and maintenance of the Project, Miami will gain approximately 14 new, perma- nent full-time equivalent jobs. The wages of the workers who obtain these positions will provide an impact of approximately $1.3 million annually. The total expenditures for the Project's operations, will provide a new, perma- nent impact of $8.1 million annually to the City's economy. This impact consists of the effects of the direct expenditures from the maintenance, security and day-to-day operation of the Project, and the multiplied effects of such spending thus creating indirect benefits. Impact on Local Tax Revenues As a result of the construction and operation of the Project, various state, city and city governments and agencies would gain an estimated annual tax benefit of $3.4 million. Analysis by Economic Indicators Our analysis of the economic and tax benefits of the Project was done by each major phase of the Project. We identified the major phases to be developmental and operational. This analysis determines the economic benefits to the City by identifying such benefits for each of the phases. The effects on economic indicators used to measure benefits (employ- ment, wages, output and taxes) were computed for each phase. Employment Employment is one of the most important economic benefits of the Project. It is one of the most accessible and direct benefits for the City's residents and it's residents and is a primary means by which develop- mental, operational and maintenance expenditures generate indirect eco- nomic benefits. A portion of this employment occurs on -site as a result of new spending at the retail enterprises, and a portion is derived from on -going operations of the Project. Further employment is gener- ated off -site by the expenditures of employees of the Project and businesses located in the Project, at area businesses. As can be seen in Exhibit 1, total short-term (developmental) employ- ment will average 423 employees over an eighteen month period and a total on -going employment will average 14. The total on -going positions can be summarized as follows: Management • Security • Parking • Maintenance/Facilities Retail 9 • • Discussion Of The Results By Economic Indicators Wages The analysis deemed wages are a direct by-product of employment. As discussed in the above section, both on -site and off -site jobs are created. There were both temporary and permanent in nature. To compute the wages associated with the new employment we started with budgeted data directly related to the developmental and operational phases of the Project. Employment, such as construction related employment, was obtained directly from construction estimates. These numbers were tested for reasonableness. Output The output generated, as a result of the development and operations of the Project, is caused by the following type of expenditures: Development costs expended in the City (100%) Annual operational expenditures of management company New spending in the locality by employees of businesses located in the Project To incorporate the impact of dollars being respent and/or reinvested in the City, a multiplier was applied to total direct output. A multiplier of 1.8792 was used to determine total direct and indirect output created by the Project. This multiplier indicates that for every $100 spent in Miami, another $187.92 will be respent or reinvested in Miami. This multiplier was obtained from the Dade City Planning Department. Direct output from the developmental phase of the Project is primarily a result of developer costs. These costs include land acquisition, site prep-, aration and soft and hard costs relating to the Project's construction. To determine the total output we determined what development costs were expected to be or had been spent in Miami. Total direct output during the development phase is $100 million. Total indirect output created by the direct respending in Miami is $88 million. Thus total Miami Output from the development of the Project is $188 million. The final component of output results from the direct operating expenditures of the Project, and the indirect benefits created as a result of the multiplier effect on direct output. The Developer provided us with an annual operating budget for the Project. An overall assumption was made that all expenditures would be spent initially in the City. 10 • • • Discussion Of The Results By Economic Indicators Output (Contd.) The total operating expenditures incorporate all estimated expenses of the ongoing operation of the Project. The impact of the retail enterprises was measured sepa- rately as an economic indicator. To incorporate the potential respending and reinvesting in Miami, the multiplier effect was measured. By applying a multiplier of 1.8792 to the total direct output from operating expenditures and the retail enterprises, we deter- mined total output (direct and indirect) from on -going operating expenditures and retail sales. Local Taxes A key and significant benefit generated from the development and operation of the Project is taxes. Several types of tax reve- nue will be generated from this project including ad valorem taxes. Specific ad valorem taxes include real and personal property taxes. Other taxes include occupational taxes and community development taxes. New real property taxes will be assessed on the Project. The assessment is based on a predetermined mileage rate being applied to the taxable value of the real property. We computed real property taxes for the develop- mental phase based on the cost of the development of the Project. This assessment base is very conservative since tax on real property typically is assessed on appraised values and not actual cost. The basis for ongoing taxes is also overall cost. The mileage rate was obtained from the City Tax Collectors office relative to the Project's location. The projected annual real property taxes are approximately $3.4 million. Total ad valorem taxes assessed by Miami -Dade County are allo- cated based on mileage rates to certain governmental entities. Listed below is the allocation of projected tax revenue. City Operating School Operating County Operating Debt Service - City Debt Service -County South Florida Water Library Operating School Debt Service Florida Inland Navigation Environmental Projects Children's Trust TOTAL $ 1,119,615 1,039,167 762,355 122,028 36,608 76,685 62,427 76,685 4,945 12,845 57,058 $ 3,370,418 11 • Discussion Of The Results By Economic Indicators Local Taxes (Contd.) Although not 'quantified, the City, through its receipt of allocated state sales taxes will receive an additional benefit as a result of the development and operation of the Project, and from the retail enterprises. Public Sector Costs Impact fees Very significant factors in measuring the economic impact on a specific region of a project are impact and other required development fees. A summary of these fees are listed below: • City of Miami Developmental Impact Fee • City of Miami Developmental Admin Fee Miami -Dade County Roadway Impact Fee • Miami -Dade County School Impact Fee Building Permit Fee • Installation Energy Fee Other Fees For the purpose of this economic impact analysis, fees are included as a part of the direct development cost (output). Impact fees total approximately $1.8 million and other fees total approximately $1.2 million. These fees are shown in detail in Exhibit II. 12 Exhibit List Exhibit i Exhibit li Summary of Economic impact Impact and Other Fees Exhibit - OUTPUT WAGES EMPLOYMENT TAXES DIRECT DEVELOPMENTAL $ 99,950,774 $ 31,500,000 OPERATIONAL 4,325,000 675,000 423 14 $ 3,370,418 TOTAL DIRECT 104,275,774 32,175,000 437 3,370,418 INDIRECT DEVELOPMENTAL 87,876,721 27,694,800 OPERATIONAL 3,802,540 593,460 TOTAL INDIRECT 91,679,261 TOTAL BENEFITS 28,288,260 - $ 195,955,035 $ 60,463,260 437 $ 3,370,418 TOTAL DEVELOPMENTAL $ 187,827,495 $ 59,194,800 423 TOTAL OPERATIONAL TOTAL BENEFITS • 8,127,540 1,268,460 14 $ 3,370,418 $ 195,955,035 $ 60,463,260 437 $ 3,370,418 13 • • Exhibit - 11 IMPACT AND OTHER FEES: A. Development Square Footages: Square Footage 1) Total gross building area (with parking) 2) Maximum development area (FAR) 3) Gross parking area 1,150,474 606,616 337,922 B. Impact Fees: Amount 1) City of Miami Developmental Impact Fee 2) Developmental Impact Administration Fee 3) Miami -Dade County Roadway Impact Fee 4) Miami -Dade County School impact Fee Total of all impact Fees C. Non -Impact Fees: 1) Miami Dade W.A.S.A. "connection fees" 2) Building Permit Fee 3) Installation Energy Fee 4) Major Use Special Permit Application Fee 5) Miami -Dade County Code Compliance 6) Radon Gas Fee 7) Fire Plan Review Fee 8) Ground Cover Fee 9) Land Use/Zoning 10) Zoning Review for Building Permit Fee 11) Certificate of Occupancy Fee 12) Application Fee Total of all Non -Impact Fees Total of all Fees for Project Source: City of Miami Planning, Building and Zoning Department. Miami Dade County Impact Fees $ 370,083 11,102 540,072 837,040 1,758,297 809,337 173,012 115,047 30,000 45,000 5,752 10,930 1,226 1,828 60 250 35 $ 1,192,477 $ 2,950,774 14