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HomeMy WebLinkAboutEconomic Impact Analysis• ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS TUSCAN PLACE (Rental Apartment Development) n - Prepared by - Lambert Advisory, LC - Prepared for - The Gatehouse Group October 29, 2003 r: 0 Economic Impact Analysis — Tuscan Place Economic Impact Analysis Tuscan Place Lambert Advisory has completed an Economic Impact Analysis for the development of Tuscan Place, a residential project located in the City of Miami's downtown district. The analysis contemplates the tangible direct and indirect economic impact which will be derived from the construction and operation of the development. The objective is to identify various benefits created by the Tuscan Place development and prepare an estimate of such benefits to the City of Miami. Tuscan Place is situated near Miami's central business district, with adequate access to major thoroughfares including US 1, I-95 and I-395. The residential development, which will be a Low Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) development, will have a positive impact on the surrounding community in terms of taxes and jobs generated, general investment, as well as enhance the area's commercial/retail demand. This development will at the least help maintain economic stability within the area and, if successful, attract on-going investment during the next several years. Additionally, the development provides an opportunity for moderate income persons/families to live downtown in a new and desirable residential complex that may otherwise not have the means were this a market -rate development. We have completed this analysis on the basis that development and performance information of the project in terms of rental rates, absorption, timing, and costs has been provided by The Gatehouse Group, As such, we have not independently verified this information or data. A profile of the project is as follows: Source: The Gatehouse Group Note: Lambert Advisory has not reviewed any development plans, schematics, and/or detailed physical information for the Tuscan Place development. Estimates above based upon data provided by The Gatehouse Group, and/or estimates made by Lambert, which may be subject to change. 2 Tuscan Place Building Features & Profile General Features Phase I Phase 11 Total Site Size (Gross) 2.00 1.40 3.40 acres Building Height 13 13 13 stories Number of Residential Units 199 175 374 units Number of Parking Spaces 292 218 510 spaces Detailed Building Profile Gross Building Area (w/parking) 309,068 240,468 549,536 sq.ft. Maximum Development Area (FAR) 184,968 147,894 332,862 sq.ft. Residential FAR 153,778 130,172 293,950 sq.ft. Corridors 17,875 14,516 32,391 sq.ft. Lobby 3,315 3,208 6,521 sq.ft. Gross Parking Area* 124,100 92,574 216,674 sci t. Source: The Gatehouse Group Note: Lambert Advisory has not reviewed any development plans, schematics, and/or detailed physical information for the Tuscan Place development. Estimates above based upon data provided by The Gatehouse Group, and/or estimates made by Lambert, which may be subject to change. 2 0 Economic Impact Analysis — Tuscan Place Development of Tuscan Place is expected to commence construction by the mid -2004 for Phase I and mid -2005 for Phase I, The construction process is anticipated to be approximately fourteen months for each phase, with occupancy of the entire development planned by early -2007. Based upon the information provided, construction and subsequent operations of Tuscan Place development will generate considerable benefits to the immediate area, the City of Miami and the metro -Miami community. There are four key areas where the project will provide positive economic benefit: • Short -Term construction employment and expenditure • Long -Term resident expenditure + Long -Term operating employment and operating expenditure Indirect secondary and tertiary flow through benefits (real estate) For both short-term and long-term impacts, which are detailed in the following analysis, the economic benefit to the area is the result of projected increase in revenue from primary sources including employment, wages, and taxes. Accordingly, the impact from these key sources comes from two distinct measures: l..) Direct Expenditures -- include disbursements for site acquisition and development (hard and soft costs); and, 2.) Indirect Expenditures — net additional expenditures that flow into the local economy as a result of the new development. We have made an attempt to quantify the tangible impacts from direct and indirect expenditures. However, potential intangible impacts such as the project's ability to serve as a catalyst for future development in the immediate area is not included in the analysis since it is almost impossible to capture these ethereal aspects of the project in numbers. The following analysis sets forth the economic impact the four key sources as follows: Impact from Short -Term Construction Employment and Expenditure The impact from short-term construction employment and expenditure is directly associated with the project's development; the following table details estimated development costs as provided by The Gatehouse Group (rounded): 11 0 Economic Impact Analysis — Tuscan Place • Development Costs Tuscan Place Item Phase I Phase II Total Hard Costs $16,000,000 $14,400,000 301400,000 Soft Casts (incl. contingency, profit) 6,500,000 $ 5,800,000 12,300,000 Total $22,500,000 $20,200,000 $42,700 000 (dote: Hard and soft costs represent an estimated allocation of Total cost provided by The Gatehouse Group, and does not include Land While the vast majority of expenditure of each of these items will be made within Miami - Dade County, the City of Miami will capture a significant share of the outflow from development. Of total hard costs, approximately 60 percent ($18.2 million) will be spent in labor and 40 percent ($12.2 million) in materials. Over an estimated 28 month construction period at an average annual construction wage of $34,420 in Miami -Dade County, and a 1.4 times beneft/overhead multiplier per worker, there will be nearly 163 Full Time Equivalent (FTE) jobs created over the period. Additionally, it is assumed that more than $1.25 million will be spent in professional fees entirely to Miami area firms, Given an average profit margin of 15% and 30% overhead for these firms, this equates to $675,000 in total professional wages. As a result of its status as an affordable housing development, Tuscan Place is exempt from certain taxes and impact fees associated with the project's construction. Nonetheless, taxes and impact fees to the City and County during the construction period will total approximately $1.2 million. These funds will be available for public expenditures associated with the project including developmental, administrative, permitting, schools, and other costs. A detail profile of impact fees and other relevant non -impact fees paid to the City and/or Miami -Dade County as a result of the development of Tuscan Place is included in the following table; ' State of Florida 2002 ES -202 (Quarterly) 4 0 C7 Economic Impact Analysis — Tuscan Place Tuscan Place Economic Impact Analysis Impact and Other Fees Impact Fees: Total City of Miami Development Impact Fee (Ord. 90426) $0 City of Miami Development Impact Admin. Fee $9,448 Miami Dade County Schools $498,734 TOTAL IMPACT FEES $508.182 OtherlNon-Impact Fees: Miami Dade W.A.S.A. Connection Fee $522,852 Building Permit Fee $58,284 Roadway Impact Fee $6,560 Variance Fee (height) $20,577 Energy Installation Fee $38,174 M.U.S.P Application Fee $18,023 Dade County Code Compliance $21,350 Radon Gas Fee $3,817 Fire Plan Review Fee $3,436 Ground Cover Fee $828 Land Use/Zoning, Review for Bldg, Perm it $786 Certicate of Occupancy $250 Application Fee $35 TOTAL OTHER FEES $694.972 TOTAL PROJECT FEES $1,203,153 Source: City of Miami Planning, Building & Zoning Dept.; Miami Dade County; The Gatehouse Group On -Going Impact from Resident Expenditure Tuscan Place represents an LIHTC development and, therefore, is required to meet specific criteria related to rent and household income restrictions. Based upon information provided by The Gatehouse Group, the following applies: For Phase I, 47 percent of the units will be occupied by households with a maximum 50 percent of the Miami Dade County median household income, and 53 percent at a maximum 60 percent of median household income; and, for Phase II, 30 percent of the units will be occupied by households with a maximum 50 percent of the Miami Dade County median household income with 70 percent at a maximum 60 percent of median household income. Based upon an estimated 2003 median household income of $38,700 for Miami Dade County, the average resident (household) has a 2003 median household income of slightly less than $22,000. Therefore, with a total of 374 households in the building, total personal income for the building is estimated to exceed $8.2 million. Assuming 50 percent of the tenants will be new residents to the City, the marginal added personal income to flow into the Miami area is in the range of $4.1 million. 2 Based upon US Census Bureau 2060 Median Household Income for Miami Dade County of $35,996, inflated by 2.5 percent per annum to estimate 2003 levels. f� 0 Econonzic Impact Analysis — Tuscan Place To measure the marginal impact of $4.1 million in household income on retail sales and additional space demanded, we have used the Lambert Advisory Retail Trade Model to develop estimates. Based upon the analysis, Tuscan Place resident expenditure may support 4,260 square feet of additional retail within the downtown area, The full model is included as an Attachment to this report, but the following table highlights additional retail expenditure and demand for space as a result of development and sale of the units by 2007. Area Expenditure Potential (from Net New Miami - Tuscan Place Residents) 2007 Food Stores Growth Expenditure Sales Per Square Feet Eating & Drinking Establishments 2007 Square Foot Demanded Type of Good $148,900 T 366 General Merchandise $90,668 $227 399 Apparel and Accessories $87,232 $290 301 Furniture and Home Equipment $36,157 $227 159 Electronic and Appliance Stores $34,582 $200 173 Sporting Goods, Books and Music Stores $32,985 $250 132 Miscellaneous Shoppers Goods $50,309 $420 120 Shoppers Goods - Sub -Total $331,933 $258 1,284 Food Stores $463,257 $422 1,098 Eating & Drinking Establishments $286,580 $375 764 Health & Personal Care Stores $148,900 $407 366 Liquor $9,939 $280 35 Convenience Goods - Sub -Tota! $908,676 $401 2,267 Building Materials $81,894 $115 712 :li:sI u Impact from On -Going Operations of the Building There are a number of areas where there will be positive public benefit or economic impact from the on-going operation of the residential and retail space. These include: • Additional Employment from Operation of the Condominium Community and Store • Property Tax Revenue to the City of Miami and Miami -Dade County • Increased Sales Tax Revenue from Store to State and County • Purchase of Goods and Services We estimate that approximately twelve FTE workers will be needed to operate the building. Skills ranging from building management, parking garage attendants, maintenance staff, retail workers, and security personnel will be required. At an M 011 Economic Impact Analysis — Tuscan Place average Miami -Dade County wage of $34,6353 the operation of the building and stores will create approximately $415,000 in wages each year. .fobs created will be available to a wide range of area residents with various skill levels. Additionally, an estimated $200,000 in goods and services will be purchased on an annual basis within Miami -Dade. This includes cleaning services, maintenance supplies, utilities, etc. Finally, the Tuscan Place development will provide significant benefit to the City and County by way of real property and personal property (ad valorem) taxes. The tax amount is based upon the County Tax Collector's (2002) millage rate of 26.8205 (per thousand dollars of value), broken down as follows: Tuscan Place Economic Impact Analysis Ad Valorem Tax Breakdown Annual Item Millage Tax ? City of Miami Operating 8.850 $213,037 City of Miami Debt 1.218 $29,320 School Operations 8.482 $204,179 School Debt 0.77 $18,535 Environmental Projects 0.100 $2,407 S. Florida Water Management 0.597 $14,371 FIND 0.0385 $927 County Millage 5.889 $141,760 County Debt 0.39 $9,388 Library 0.486 $11,699 TOTAL 26.8205 $645,623 Source: Miami Dade County Property Appraiser Real property is typically assessed at between 80 and 90 percent of Fair Market Value. However, the determination of Fair market Value for this project requires a specific valuation process given the fact that rents are capped at a maximum level (estimated to be in the range of 50 percent below market), while expenses remain at "market" levels. Therefore, in an effort to estimate ad valorem taxes for Tuscan Place, it is assumed that property's assessed value will be at least 60 percent of development costs (with land), or $20.1 million in assessed value. Therefore, the real property taxes that will be generated annually from the property should approximate $650,000 by 2007. Accordingly, this represents an estimated net marginal increase of roughly $530,000± over the ad valorem tax collection the City would receive if the property were valued at the purchase price of $4.5 million. 3 State of Florida 2002 ES -202 (Quarterly) 7 0 Economic Impact Analysis — Tuscan Place 1] Indirect Flow -Through Benefits There will be a number of long term indirect flow through benefits beyond construction from the project particularly from the increase in operations employment. The 12 FTE jobs created as a result of building operations is assumed to have a 1.2 multiplier impact of 14 additional jobs. All multipliers are derived from the U.S. Department of Commerce's 1999 RIMS II model. These are indirect secondary and tertiary impacts which are created as the ripple impact of the primary employment related to the operation of the building and new retail space which will be felt throughout the region. 8 ! Economic .Impact Analysis ---- Tuscan Place • • Summary Economic Impacts from Tuscan Place Short Term Construction Em to Ment & Exenditure impact Full Time Jobs Created 163 Total Direct Wages Created $18-,2001000. Additional Professional Wages Miami -Dade Coun $675,000 impact Fees Toward Public Expenditure 1200,000 Total Impact from Short Term Const. Employment & Expend. $24,075 004 Impact From On -Going Resident and Shopper po enditure Im act Marginal Expenditure Growth - Residents 2007 $4,10 000 Other Ex enditure0 Marginal Impact from On -Going Resident and Shopper $4,100,000 Expend. Impact from On -Going Operations of the Buildin Retail Im act Full Time Jobs 12 Total Direct Wages Created $415,000 Goods & Service Purchased in Miami -Dade County $200,000 Ad Valorem Taxes 2007.$650,000 Total Impact from On -Going Operations of the Building/Retail $1,310000 Indirect Flow Through Benefits - Em io Ment Im act Full Time Jobs Indirect - Miami Dade Coun 14 Total Indirect Wa es Created t485,000 Total Flow Through Indirect Benefits $485,000 Based upon the analysis set forth herein, Tuscan Place project will clearly have a positive economic impact on both the City of Miami and Miami -Dade County. Total employment created during the development phase is approximately 163, with on-going annual employment of 26 full-time jobs, Accordingly, there is an estimated $20.0 million impact from short term construction employment and expenditures, and a stabilized $5.4 million annual revenue stream from resident expenditures and building operations (including real property taxes). 9 ! Economic Impact Analysis — Tuscan Place • :7 LAMBERT ADVISORY RETAIL TRADE MODEL 10 • L-b.l "o --y LEC Ta(Page A of 3) RESIDENT EXPENDITURES FORECAST, BY MAJOR CATEGORY, TUSCAN P€ -ACE Projected 2007 to 2010 2007 2008 2009 TOTAL INCOME S4,100,006 $4,141,000 $4,182,410 $4,224,234 TOTAL NON -AUTO RETAIL EXPENDITURES $1,988,500 $2,008,385 $2,028,469 $2,048,754 % OF T_H,I. 48.50% 48.50% 48.50% 48.50'N EXPENDITURES BY STORE TYPE: GENERAL MERCHANDISE $345.402 $348,856 $352,345 $355,668 DEPT STORE 5253,136 $255.667 $256,224 $260,806 WAREHOUSE CLUBS & SUPERSTORES $64,626 $65.273 $65.925 $66,584 MISC GEN MDSE $27,646 $27,917 $28,136 $28,478 APPAREL & ACCESSORIES $198,253 $200,236 5202,238 $204,261 MENS CLOTHING STORES $11,931 $12,050 $12,171 $12,293 WOMEN'S CLOTHING STORES $42,355 $42,779 543,248 $43,638 CHILDREN'S & INFANT CLOTHING $7,556 $7,632 $7,708 $7,765 FAMILY CLOTHING $59,058 $59,649 $50,246 $60,648 ACCESSORIES STORES $3,579 $3,615 $3,651 $3,688 OTHER CLOTHING STORES $14,516 $14.661 $14,608 $14,956 SHORESTORES 531,617 $31,933 $32.253 $32,575 JEWELRY STORES $25.453 $25,707 $25,964 $26,224 LUGGAGE & LEATHER STORES $2,187 $2.209 $2,231 $2,254 FURNITURE & HOME EQUIPMENT $109,566 $110,662 ,5111,769 $112,686 FURNITURE STORES $64,626 $65,273 $65,925 $66,584 FLOOR COVERING STORES $21.678 $21,289 $21,502 $21,717 OTHER HOME FURNISHING STORES $23.862 $24,101 $24,342 $24,585 ELECTRONIC &APPLIANCE STORES $104,734 $105,642 $106,900 $147,969 APPLIANCE, TELEVISION & OTHER ELECTR $76.160 $76,921 $77,690 $78,467 COMPUTER & SOFTWARE STORES $25,453 $25,707 $25,964 $26,224 CAMERA& PHOTOGRAPHIC SUPPLIES $3,182 $3,213 $3,246 $3.276 SPORTING GOODS. HOBBY. BOOK & MUSK STORES $74,966 $75,716 $76,473 $77,236 SPORTING GOODS STORES $26,845 $27,113 $27,384 $27,656 HOBBY, TOY & GAMES STORES $18,294 $16,477 $18,662 $18,849 SEWING, NEEDLEWORK STORES MUS ICAL INSTRUMENT STORES 53,360 $6,761 $3,414 $6,829 $3,446 $6,897 $3,483 $6.966 BOOK STORES $10,346 $10,444 510,548 510,654 NEWS DEALERS & NEWSSTAND $795 $803 $811 $820 CD & RECORD STORES $8,551 $8,636 $8,722 $8,810 MISCELLANEOUS S -G $91,471 $92,386 $93,310 $94,243 FLORIST $5,767 $5,624 $5,683 $5,941 OFFICE SUPPLIES & STATIONERY $24,459 $24,703 $24,950 $25,200 GIFT, NOVELTIES $17,101 $17,272 $17,445 $17,619 USED MERCHANDISE $6,551 $8,636 $8,722 $8,810 PET& PET SUPPLIES $11,533 $11,649 $11,765 $11,683 ART DEALERS $,2.784 $2,812 $2,840 $2,668 OTHER MISCELLANEOUS 521.277 $21.490 $21,705 $21,922 SHOPPER GOODSISUBTOTAL $924,454 $933,698 5943,035 $952,466 FOODSTORES $454,173 $458,715 $463.302 $467,935 SUPERMARKETS $415,199 $419,351 $423,544 $427,780 CONVENIENCE STORES 522,470 $22.635 $22,922 $23,151 SPECIALTY FOOD STORES $16,505 $16,670 516,836 $17,005 EATING & DRINKING ESTABLISHMENTS $307.820 $310,898 $314,007 $317,147 FULL SERVICE RESTAURANTS $171.210 $172.922 $174,651 $176,398 LIMITED SERVICE RESTAURANTS $105,192 $106,244 S1D7,306 $108,379 SPECIALTY FOOD SERVICE $17,101 517,272 $17,445 $17,619 DRINKING PLACES $14,317 $14,460 $14,605 $14,751 HEALTH & PERSONAL CARE STORES $166,835 $166,504 $170,189 $171,890 PHARMACIES & DRUGSTORES $134,224 $135,565 $136,922 $138,291 COSMETICS. BEAUTY SUPPLY & PERFUME $8,749 $8,837 $8,925 $8,015 OPTICAL STORES $10,340 510,444 $10,548 $10.654 OTHER HEALTH & PERSONAL CARE STORE $13,522 $13,657 $13,794 $13,932 LIQUOR $11,136 $11,247 $11,369 $11,473 CONVENIENCE GOODSISUBTOTAL $939,964 $949,364 $958,857 $968,446 BUILDING MATERIALS $124,082 $125,323 $126,576 $127,842 • L-b.l "o --y LEC FOOD STORES $454,173 $458,715 $463,302 $467,935 EATING & DRINKING ESTABLISHMENTS $307,820 $310,890 $314,007 $317,147 HEALTH & PERSONAL CARE STORES $166.835 $168,504 $170,189 $171,890 LIQUOR $11,136 $11,247 $11,359 $11,473 CONVENIENCE GOODSISUSTOTAL 5939,964 $949,364 $958,857 5968,446 BUILDING MATERIALS $124.082 $125,323 $126,575 $127,842 OTHER RETAILISUBTOTAL $124,082 $125,323 $126,578 $127,842 TOTAL Table (Page 2 of 3) $2,008,385 $2,026,469 52,048,754 RESIDENT EXPENDITURES FORECAST, BY MAJOR CATEGORY. TUSCAN PLACE $88,104 . Projected 2007 to 2010 FURNITURE & HOME EQUIPMENT 2007- 2008 20F79 2007 2008, 2fl?099 2010 GENERAL MERCHANDISE $345,402 $348,856 $352,345 $355,868 APPAREL & ACCESSORIES $198,253 $200,236 5202,238 $204,261 FURNITURE & HOME EQUIPMENT $109,566 $110,662 $111,769 $112,886 ELECTRONIC & APPLIANCE STORES $904,794 $105,842 $106.900 $107,969 SPORTING GOODS, BOOKS & MUSIC STORES $74,966 $75,716 $76,473 $77,238 MISCELLANEOUS S -G $91,471 $92,386 $93,310 $94,243 SHOPPER GOODSISUBTOTAL $924,454 $933,696 $943,035 $952,466 FOOD STORES $454,173 $458,715 $463,302 $467,935 EATING & DRINKING ESTABLISHMENTS $307,820 $310,890 $314,007 $317,147 HEALTH & PERSONAL CARE STORES $166.835 $168,504 $170,189 $171,890 LIQUOR $11,136 $11,247 $11,359 $11,473 CONVENIENCE GOODSISUSTOTAL 5939,964 $949,364 $958,857 5968,446 BUILDING MATERIALS $124.082 $125,323 $126,575 $127,842 OTHER RETAILISUBTOTAL $124,082 $125,323 $126,578 $127,842 TOTAL $1.9687500 $2,008,385 $2,026,469 52,048,754 APPAREL & ACCESSORIES Retention and Sale 1,A— Factor $88,104 $88,965 $89.875 FURNITURE & HOME EQUIPMENT 2007- 2008 20F79 2010 Tuscan Place $34,582 $34,928 535,277 $35,630 GENERAL MERCHANDISE 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00°% APPAREL & ACCESSORIES 40.00% 40.00% 40.00% 40.00% FURNITURE & HOME EQUIPMENT 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% ELECTRONIC & APPLIANCE STORES 30.00% 30.00% 30,00% 30.00% SPORTING GOODS, BOOKS & MUSIC STORES 40.00% 40.00% 40,00% 40.00% MISCELLANEOUS S -G 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% FOOT) STORES 85.00% 85.00% 85.00% 85.00% EATING & DRINKING ESTABLISHMENTS 70.00% 70.00% 70.40% 70.00% HEALTH & PERSONAL CARE STORES 85.00°% 85.00% 85.40°/ 85.00°% LIQUOR 85.00% 85.00% 85.40% 85.00% BUILDING MATERIALS 60.00°% 60.00% 60.00% 60.00% PERCENT SALES INFLOW FROM SECONDARY MARKET & VISITORS GENERAL MERCHANDISE 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% APPAREL & ACCESSORIES 1000% 10-00% 10.00% 10.00% FURNITURE & HOME EQUIPMENT 10,00% 10,00% 10.00% 10.00% ELECTRONIC & APPLIANCE STORES 1000% 1000% 10.40% 10.00% SPORTING GOODS, HOOKS & MUSK STORES 10.00% 1000% 10.0W/, 10.00% MISCELLANEOUS S -G -!G.00% 90.()G% 10.00% 10.000% FOOD STORES 20.00% 20 W% 20.00% 20.00% EATING & DRINKING ESTABLISHMENTS 33.40% 33.00% 33.00% 33.00% HEALTH & PERSONAE. CARE STORES 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5,00% LIQUOR 5.00% 5.00% 5.00°% 5,40% BUILDING MATERIALS 10.00% 20.00°/ 20.00% 20.00% NET SALES POTENTIAL GENERAL MERCHANDISE S90,668 $91,575 592.491 $93,415 APPAREL & ACCESSORIES $87,232 $88,104 $88,965 $89.875 FURNITURE & HOME EQUIPMENT $36,157 536,518 $36,884 $37,252 ELECTRONIC & APPLIANCE STORES $34,582 $34,928 535,277 $35,630 SPORTING GOODS, BOOKS & MUSIC STORES $32,965 $33,315 $33,648 $33,985 MISCELLANEOUS S -G $50,309 $50,812 $51,320 $51,833 SHOPPER'S GOODS SUBTOTAL $331,933 $335,252 $338,605 $341,991 FOOD STORES $463,257 $467,889 $472,568 $477,294 EATING & DRINKING ESTABLISHMENTS $286,580 $289,446 $292,340 $295,264 HEALTH & PERSONAL CARE STORES $148,900 $150,389 $151,893 $153,412 LIQUOR $9,939 $10,038 $10,138 $10,240 CONVENIENCE GOODS SUBTOTAL $908,676 $917,763 $926,940 $936,210 SU€LDING MATERIALS $81,894 $90.233 $91,135 $92,046 Lwb�d Ae-i YLLC • L t� Ad—y LLC OVERALL AVERAGE WARRANTED SQUARE FEET: GENERAL MERCHANDISE APPAREL & ACCESSORIES FURNITURE & HOME EQUIPMENT ELECTRONIC & APPLIANCE STORES SPORTING GOODS, BOOKS & MUSIC STORES MISCELLANEOUS S -G SHOPPER'S GOODS TOTAL FOOD STORES EATING & DRINKING ESTABLISHMENTS HEAP TH & PERSONAL CARE STORES LIQUOR CONVENIENCE GOODS TOTAL, BUfLDING MATERIALS TOTAL WARRANTED RETAIL SPACE 399 Table (Page 3 of 3) 407 412 301 RESIDENT EXPENDITURES FORECAST, BY MAJOR CATEGORY, TUSCAN PLACE 161 162 Projected 2007 to 201a 173 175 176 SALES PER SQUARE FOOT: ZQG7 2008 2009 al -0 GENERAL MERCHANDISE $227 $227 $227 $227 APPAREL & ACCESSORtES $290 $290 $290 $290 FURNITURE & HOME EQUIPMENT $227 $227 $227 $227 ELECTRONIC & APPLIANCE STORES $200 $240 $200 $200 SPORTING GOODS, HOOKS & MUSIC STORES $250 $250 $250 $250 MISCELLANEOUS S -G $420 $420 W-0 5420 SHOPPER'S GOODS AVERAGE $258 $258 $258 $258 FOOD STORES 5422 $422 $422 5422 EATING & DRINKING ESTABLISHMENTS $375 $375 $375 $375 HEALTH & PERSONAL CARE STORES $407 $407 $407 $407 LIQUOR 80 80 $280 $280 CONVENIENCE GOODS AVERAGE $401 $401 $401 $401 BUILDING MATERIALS $115 $115 $115 $115 • L t� Ad—y LLC OVERALL AVERAGE WARRANTED SQUARE FEET: GENERAL MERCHANDISE APPAREL & ACCESSORIES FURNITURE & HOME EQUIPMENT ELECTRONIC & APPLIANCE STORES SPORTING GOODS, BOOKS & MUSIC STORES MISCELLANEOUS S -G SHOPPER'S GOODS TOTAL FOOD STORES EATING & DRINKING ESTABLISHMENTS HEAP TH & PERSONAL CARE STORES LIQUOR CONVENIENCE GOODS TOTAL, BUfLDING MATERIALS TOTAL WARRANTED RETAIL SPACE 399 403 407 412 301 304 307 310 159 161 162 154 173 175 176 178 132 133 135 136 120 121 122 123 1,284 1,297 1,310 1,323 1,098 1,109 1,120 1,131 764 772 780 787 366 370 373 377 35 36 36 37 2,263 2,286 2,309 2,332 712 785 792 600 4,260 4,368 4,411 4,455